Tropical Storm MATTHEW
ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT MON OCT 11 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.5N 90.5W 47 X X X 47 PENSACOLA FL X 7 7 2 16
27.8N 89.0W 16 8 1 X 25 MOBILE AL X 8 6 3 17
29.5N 87.5W X 12 4 2 18 GULFPORT MS X 11 4 2 17
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 BURAS LA 2 14 2 1 19
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 NEW ORLEANS LA 1 12 2 2 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 3 4 NEW IBERIA LA X 9 3 2 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 2 5 7 PORT ARTHUR TX X 3 2 2 7
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 5 6 GALVESTON TX X 2 2 2 6
CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 FREEPORT TX X 1 2 1 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 1 2
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X 3 7 3 13
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 1 2 GULF 29N 87W X 11 4 2 17
FT MYERS FL X X 1 2 3 GULF 28N 89W 14 9 1 X 24
VENICE FL X X 2 3 5 GULF 28N 91W 24 3 X 1 28
TAMPA FL X X 3 3 6 GULF 28N 93W 13 3 1 1 18
CEDAR KEY FL X X 4 4 8 GULF 28N 95W 1 2 2 1 6
ST MARKS FL X 1 6 5 12 GULF 27N 96W X 1 1 1 3
APALACHICOLA FL X 3 7 3 13 GULF 25N 96W 1 1 X 1 3
PANAMA CITY FL X 4 7 4 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN