Tropical Storm MATTHEW
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT OCT 09 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.0N 91.3W 37 1 X X 38 NEW IBERIA LA 36 X X X 36
32.5N 91.0W 6 15 1 X 22 PORT ARTHUR TX 11 2 1 X 14
34.5N 91.0W X 13 3 X 16 GALVESTON TX 3 1 1 X 5
PANAMA CITY FL X 1 1 X 2 FREEPORT TX X 1 1 X 2
PENSACOLA FL 1 5 2 X 8 GULF 29N 87W 1 3 1 X 5
MOBILE AL 4 9 2 X 15 GULF 28N 89W 18 1 X X 19
GULFPORT MS 14 6 1 X 21 GULF 28N 91W 62 X X X 62
BURAS LA 27 1 X X 28 GULF 28N 93W 59 X X X 59
NEW ORLEANS LA 32 X 1 X 33 GULF 28N 95W 1 X 1 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
C FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
D FROM 7AM MON TO 7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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