Tropical Storm MATTHEW
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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN OCT 10 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT WED OCT 13 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.4N 90.9W 31 X X X 31 BURAS LA 64 X X X 64
34.4N 91.8W 11 6 2 X 19 NEW ORLEANS LA 69 X X X 69
35.7N 92.7W 2 11 2 X 15 NEW IBERIA LA 36 X X X 36
APALACHICOLA FL X 1 1 X 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X 1 1 X 2
PANAMA CITY FL 1 2 1 X 4 GULF 29N 85W X 1 1 X 2
PENSACOLA FL 8 3 X X 11 GULF 29N 87W 4 2 1 X 7
MOBILE AL 23 X 1 X 24 GULF 28N 89W 19 X X X 19
GULFPORT MS 40 X X X 40 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE
D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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