Tropical Storm LEE
ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2005
THE DEPRESSION CONSISTS OF A VIGOROUS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A
TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEFINING THE CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS
LIMITED TO A BAND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS
MORE TYPICAL OF A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT BECAUSE THERE IS A
CHANCE THAT SOME CONVECTION REDEVELOPS NEAR THE CENTER...IT IS
OPTED TO KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A 30-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THIS
TIME. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION MAY BE A
REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LEE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KNOTS.
THE CYCLONE IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM SO IT SHOULD MOVE ON A GENERAL
NORTHWARD TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A
SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTERED TO THE EAST OF THE DEPRESSION.
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/2100Z 32.4N 51.5W 30 KT
12HR VT 02/0600Z 32.9N 51.7W 25 KT
24HR VT 02/1800Z 34.0N 52.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 03/0600Z 35.5N 52.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/1800Z 37.5N 52.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
NNNN