Hurricane PHILIPPE

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HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
0300Z MON SEP 19 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  55.9W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  55.9W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  55.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N  56.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.6N  57.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.6N  58.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.8N  58.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 26.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  55.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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