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Hurricane PHILIPPE


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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
1500Z THU SEP 22 2005
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  57.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  57.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.2N  57.6W...ABSORBED
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.6N  58.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.6N  58.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N  57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.5N  51.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 38.5N  45.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 40.0N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  57.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
 
 
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