Tropical Storm ARLENE
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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.0N 88.0W 37 X X X 37 GULFPORT MS 33 X X X 33
33.5N 88.0W 8 21 2 X 31 BURAS LA 24 1 X X 25
37.0N 87.6W X 6 19 X 25 NEW ORLEANS LA 17 2 X X 19
ST MARKS FL 5 4 X X 9 NEW IBERIA LA 2 2 X X 4
APALACHICOLA FL 18 1 X X 19 GULF 29N 85W 24 X 1 X 25
PANAMA CITY FL 27 1 X X 28 GULF 29N 87W 64 X X X 64
PENSACOLA FL 41 X X X 41 GULF 28N 89W 20 X X X 20
MOBILE AL 39 X X X 39 GULF 28N 91W 1 1 X X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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