Tropical Depression THREE
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 04 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT THU JUL 7 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.6N 91.6W 41 X X X 41 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 10 7 17
25.7N 93.0W 5 24 1 X 30 GALVESTON TX X 2 12 4 18
27.5N 93.5W X 15 7 1 23 FREEPORT TX X 3 12 4 19
MMCZ 205N 869W 2 X X X 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X 3 11 3 17
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X 2 8 4 14
MMMD 210N 897W 99 X X X 99 BROWNSVILLE TX X 3 4 3 10
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W X X 4 5 9
MOBILE AL X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 91W X 3 9 4 16
GULFPORT MS X X 1 7 8 GULF 28N 93W X 9 9 3 21
BURAS LA X X 2 8 10 GULF 28N 95W X 9 10 2 21
NEW ORLEANS LA X X 2 9 11 GULF 27N 96W X 11 6 2 19
NEW IBERIA LA X X 6 8 14 GULF 25N 96W X 11 2 1 14
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM TUE TO 7PM TUE
C FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED
D FROM 7AM WED TO 7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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