Tropical Storm IRENE
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TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 11 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST SUN AUG 14 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 64.9W 46 X X X 46 BERMUDA X X 1 3 4
27.0N 66.7W 13 18 X X 31 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2
27.9N 68.3W X 19 6 1 26 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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