Tropical Depression SIXTEEN
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.7N 79.2W 99 X X X 99 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2
28.1N 79.6W 49 X X X 49 KEY WEST FL X X X 4 4
28.7N 80.2W 31 X 1 X 32 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 2 2 4 9
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL 2 3 3 3 11
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL 1 4 3 4 12
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 X 3 4 TAMPA FL 3 6 3 3 15
MYNN 251N 775W 3 2 1 3 9 CEDAR KEY FL 2 7 4 3 16
MYGF 266N 787W 99 X X X 99 ST MARKS FL X 4 5 5 14
MARATHON FL X X 1 4 5 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 5 6 12
MIAMI FL 8 2 1 2 13 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 3 7 11
W PALM BEACH FL 28 1 X X 29 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 6 7
FT PIERCE FL 32 1 X X 33 MOBILE AL X X 1 4 5
COCOA BEACH FL 28 1 X X 29 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
DAYTONA BEACH FL 17 4 1 1 23 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
JACKSONVILLE FL 4 9 4 2 19 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA X 4 6 4 14 GULF 29N 85W X 1 4 6 11
CHARLESTON SC X 1 4 5 10 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 5 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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