Subtropical Depression TWENTY-TWO

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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.4N  63.4W      34  X  X  X 34   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  7  7
31.2N  66.4W       4 21  1  X 26   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  9  9
32.3N  68.3W       X 15  5  2 22   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  9 10
BERMUDA            3 16  1  1 21   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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