Tropical Storm BERYL
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
0300 UTC THU JUL 20 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 20(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PORTLAND ME 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CONCORD NH 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BOSTON MA 34 2 9(11) 13(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BOSTON MA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HYANNIS MA 34 3 20(23) 21(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
HYANNIS MA 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
NANTUCKET MA 34 4 28(32) 24(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 3 19(22) 12(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 3 12(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
MONTAUK POINT 34 7 26(33) 9(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEW YORK CITY 34 7 12(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
NEWARK NJ 34 4 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TRENTON NJ 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 12 7(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BALTIMORE MD 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 13 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
RICHMOND VA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 381N 727W 34 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 381N 727W 50 48 13(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
12 381N 727W 64 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 396N 713W 34 44 37(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
24 396N 713W 50 1 26(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
24 396N 713W 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 415N 685W 34 2 12(14) 38(52) 4(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
36 415N 685W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 415N 685W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 437N 644W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
48 437N 644W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 437N 644W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 50 45 40 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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