Tropical Storm BERYL

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022006               
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 43.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  33(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  42(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  5  34(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  1  39(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 39   7(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 71   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 
MONCTON NB     34 17   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 21   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 450N  645W 34 47   4(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 12 450N  645W 50  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 450N  645W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 480N  590W 34  X  38(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 24 480N  590W 50  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 480N  590W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35       0       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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