Tropical Storm DEBBY

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
0300 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 229N  434W 34 53  12(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 12 229N  434W 50  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 12 229N  434W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 246N  462W 34  X  43(43)  13(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 246N  462W 50  X   9( 9)   6(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 246N  462W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 262N  485W 34  X   3( 3)  39(42)  10(52)   3(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 36 262N  485W 50  X   X( X)  12(12)   7(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 262N  485W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 281N  502W 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  29(40)  11(51)   2(53)   X(53)
 48 281N  502W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   7(21)   1(22)   X(22)
 48 281N  502W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 320N  510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  30(36)  11(47)   2(49)
 72 320N  510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   1(18)
 72 320N  510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
 96 360N  480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  24(32)   8(40)
 96 360N  480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   3(14)
 96 360N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 410N  420W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  16(22)
120 410N  420W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
120 410N  420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      50      55      55      60      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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