Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 17(32)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 43(66) 6(72) 1(73)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 6(38) 1(39)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) X(20)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 238N 609W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 238N 609W 50 28 13(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
12 238N 609W 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 255N 632W 34 51 38(89) 3(92) 2(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 255N 632W 50 X 37(37) 13(50) 3(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
24 255N 632W 64 X 7( 7) 7(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 270N 645W 34 6 55(61) 23(84) 5(89) 3(92) X(92) X(92)
36 270N 645W 50 X 9( 9) 34(43) 8(51) 4(55) X(55) X(55)
36 270N 645W 64 X 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25)
48 285N 650W 34 X 26(26) 39(65) 15(80) 8(88) X(88) 1(89)
48 285N 650W 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) 19(38) 12(50) 1(51) X(51)
48 285N 650W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25)
72 330N 640W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 45(60) 11(71) 1(72)
72 330N 640W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) 8(37) X(37)
72 330N 640W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19)
96 390N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 34(40) 11(51)
96 390N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23)
96 390N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10)
120 480N 490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23)
120 480N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
120 480N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 65 75 85 75 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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