Tropical Depression EIGHT

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 129N  333W 34 21   9(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 12 129N  333W 50  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 129N  333W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 136N  364W 34  X  30(30)  13(43)   1(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 24 136N  364W 50  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 136N  364W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 147N  390W 34  X   2( 2)  37(39)   9(48)   4(52)   1(53)   X(53)
 36 147N  390W 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 147N  390W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 161N  411W 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  28(39)  12(51)   3(54)   1(55)
 48 161N  411W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   7(21)   1(22)   1(23)
 48 161N  411W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 185N  440W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  30(38)   9(47)   4(51)
 72 185N  440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   6(21)   1(22)
 72 185N  440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 
 
 96 205N  465W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)  18(34)   7(41)
 96 205N  465W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   4(18)
 96 205N  465W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 
 
120 220N  495W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)  11(29)
120 220N  495W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)
120 220N  495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      50      60      70      80      85
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN