Hurricane HELENE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 207N 493W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 207N 493W 50 74 10(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 207N 493W 64 46 14(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
24 217N 505W 34 64 27(91) 4(95) 1(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97)
24 217N 505W 50 7 49(56) 9(65) 2(67) 2(69) 1(70) X(70)
24 217N 505W 64 2 30(32) 9(41) 2(43) 1(44) 1(45) X(45)
36 226N 517W 34 10 46(56) 23(79) 6(85) 4(89) 1(90) X(90)
36 226N 517W 50 1 16(17) 30(47) 9(56) 4(60) 2(62) X(62)
36 226N 517W 64 X 7( 7) 19(26) 7(33) 2(35) 1(36) 1(37)
48 233N 532W 34 3 14(17) 33(50) 19(69) 9(78) 2(80) 1(81)
48 233N 532W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 18(38) 8(46) 3(49) X(49)
48 233N 532W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22) 7(29) 2(31) X(31)
72 240N 560W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) 28(56) 8(64) 2(66)
72 240N 560W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 20(28) 7(35) 1(36)
72 240N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) 1(21)
96 260N 580W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 22(29) 17(46) 8(54)
96 260N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 10(21) 3(24)
96 260N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 3(13)
120 290N 590W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 11(33)
120 290N 590W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15)
120 290N 590W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 85 90 95 95 85 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB
NNNN
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