Hurricane HELENE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 3(18)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 246N 522W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 246N 522W 50 90 5(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 246N 522W 64 63 15(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 247N 540W 34 55 37(92) 4(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 247N 540W 50 8 59(67) 12(79) 3(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
24 247N 540W 64 1 43(44) 12(56) 3(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
36 248N 565W 34 3 31(34) 45(79) 11(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93)
36 248N 565W 50 X 9( 9) 43(52) 12(64) 4(68) 1(69) X(69)
36 248N 565W 64 X 2( 2) 28(30) 12(42) 4(46) X(46) X(46)
48 260N 570W 34 2 18(20) 44(64) 17(81) 7(88) 1(89) X(89)
48 260N 570W 50 X 2( 2) 28(30) 21(51) 10(61) 1(62) X(62)
48 260N 570W 64 X X( X) 11(11) 17(28) 8(36) 1(37) X(37)
72 295N 585W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 39(59) 11(70) 2(72)
72 295N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 26(32) 7(39) 2(41)
72 295N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) 1(24)
96 330N 575W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 24(47) 10(57)
96 330N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 7(28)
96 330N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14)
120 400N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27)
120 400N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
120 400N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 100 105 105 105 100 90 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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