Hurricane HELENE
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HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 250N 541W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 250N 541W 50 94 3(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 250N 541W 64 75 11(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
24 259N 557W 34 73 22(95) 3(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99)
24 259N 557W 50 20 54(74) 8(82) 2(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
24 259N 557W 64 4 49(53) 11(64) 2(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
36 275N 565W 34 16 50(66) 23(89) 5(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96)
36 275N 565W 50 1 24(25) 37(62) 9(71) 3(74) 1(75) X(75)
36 275N 565W 64 X 6( 6) 33(39) 10(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51)
48 297N 567W 34 1 13(14) 36(50) 27(77) 10(87) 1(88) X(88)
48 297N 567W 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) 26(45) 14(59) 1(60) X(60)
48 297N 567W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) 10(38) X(38) X(38)
72 350N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 50(58) 12(70) 2(72)
72 350N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 10(40) X(40)
72 350N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 6(23) 1(24)
96 395N 495W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 35(44) 11(55)
96 395N 495W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27)
96 395N 495W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14)
120 450N 405W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29)
120 450N 405W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
120 450N 405W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 110 110 105 100 90 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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