Hurricane HELENE
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HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 252N 552W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 252N 552W 50 93 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 252N 552W 64 70 11(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
24 267N 565W 34 67 28(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
24 267N 565W 50 13 60(73) 10(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84)
24 267N 565W 64 2 46(48) 11(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
36 289N 568W 34 6 44(50) 35(85) 7(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93)
36 289N 568W 50 X 13(13) 43(56) 10(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68)
36 289N 568W 64 X 3( 3) 29(32) 10(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
48 320N 563W 34 X 2( 2) 27(29) 39(68) 13(81) X(81) X(81)
48 320N 563W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 33(39) 13(52) X(52) X(52)
48 320N 563W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27) X(27) X(27)
72 390N 515W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 13(65) X(65)
72 390N 515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 9(35) 1(36)
72 390N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17)
96 453N 410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 11(48)
96 453N 410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23)
96 453N 410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11)
120 490N 305W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21(28)
120 490N 305W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
120 490N 305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 95 100 95 90 90 80 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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