Hurricane HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   1(13)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 273N  570W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 273N  570W 50 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 273N  570W 64 73  10(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
 24 294N  573W 34 65  31(96)   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 294N  573W 50  9  67(76)   9(85)   X(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 24 294N  573W 64  1  47(48)  13(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
 36 323N  564W 34  2  30(32)  52(84)   8(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 36 323N  564W 50  X   3( 3)  52(55)  11(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 36 323N  564W 64  X   X( X)  28(28)   9(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
 48 350N  545W 34  X   1( 1)  29(30)  41(71)  12(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 48 350N  545W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  34(40)  11(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 48 350N  545W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   7(26)   1(27)   X(27)
 
 
 72 405N  470W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  53(54)  10(64)   1(65)
 72 405N  470W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)   7(32)   X(32)
 72 405N  470W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   X(16)
 
 
 96 460N  365W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  32(33)   7(40)
 96 460N  365W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   3(17)
 96 460N  365W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
 
120 500N  280W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  14(21)
120 500N  280W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
120 500N  280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     95      90      85      85      65      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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