Hurricane HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 286N  570W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 286N  570W 50 92   4(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 286N  570W 64 79   9(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 
 24 312N  563W 34 37  56(93)   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 312N  563W 50  2  67(69)  11(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 24 312N  563W 64  X  48(48)  12(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 
 36 340N  545W 34  X  25(25)  57(82)   8(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 36 340N  545W 50  X   3( 3)  47(50)  11(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 36 340N  545W 64  X   X( X)  28(28)   7(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
 48 372N  512W 34  X   X( X)  15(15)  48(63)  13(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 48 372N  512W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  31(32)   9(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 48 372N  512W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 
 72 430N  420W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  45(45)  11(56)   X(56)
 72 430N  420W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   6(23)   X(23)
 72 430N  420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 
 
 96 480N  320W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  31(33)   7(40)
 96 480N  320W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   4(17)
 96 480N  320W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 
 
120 520N  240W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  14(22)
120 520N  240W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
120 520N  240W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     90      85      75      70      65      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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