Hurricane HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 389N  430W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 389N  430W 50 92   7(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 389N  430W 64 49  36(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 
 24 407N  385W 34 16  72(88)   6(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 407N  385W 50  X  70(70)  13(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 24 407N  385W 64  X  35(35)  16(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 
 36 425N  342W 34  X  19(19)  58(77)   8(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 36 425N  342W 50  X   1( 1)  47(48)  11(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 36 425N  342W 64  X   X( X)  21(21)   8(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
 48 441N  307W 34  X   X( X)  29(29)  35(64)   9(73)   1(74)   X(74)
 48 441N  307W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  28(33)   8(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 48 441N  307W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
 
 72 470N  230W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  38(41)   6(47)   1(48)
 72 470N  230W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   4(19)   1(20)
 72 470N  230W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 490N  180W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  15(29)   4(33)
 96 490N  180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)
 96 490N  180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 505N  130W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   6(20)
120 505N  130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
120 505N  130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     75      70      65      55      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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