Hurricane HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
38.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 391N  409W 34 96   2(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 391N  409W 50 90   8(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 391N  409W 64 44  29(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 
 24 413N  364W 34 11  76(87)   5(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 413N  364W 50  X  62(62)  15(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 24 413N  364W 64  X  28(28)  13(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
 36 432N  324W 34  X  20(20)  54(74)   6(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 36 432N  324W 50  X   1( 1)  42(43)  10(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 432N  324W 64  X   X( X)  16(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 48 446N  288W 34  X   X( X)  28(28)  27(55)   7(62)   1(63)   X(63)
 48 446N  288W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  20(25)   6(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 48 446N  288W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 470N  210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  28(31)   6(37)   1(38)
 72 470N  210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 72 470N  210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 490N  150W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  13(21)   3(24)
 96 490N  150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 96 490N  150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 510N  110W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)
120 510N  110W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 510N  110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     70      65      55      45      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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