Tropical Storm ALETTA

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TROPICAL STORM ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006
0900Z SUN MAY 28 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO TECPAN DE GALEANA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
FROM EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO EASTWARD TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...AND FROM
WEST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.6N 100.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.9N 100.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.2N 100.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.4N 100.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.3N 101.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.2N 101.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 102.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 101.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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