Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
2100 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 117.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 117.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 116.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.2N 119.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 122.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 124.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.1N 126.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.0N 139.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 117.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
 
 
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