Hurricane BUD
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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
0900 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 119.8W
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 122.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 125.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.4N 128.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.9N 130.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 20.5N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 120.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
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FORECASTER KNABB
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