Hurricane BUD
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HURRICANE BUD SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
2230 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
AT 2230Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 148N 1145W 34 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
12 148N 1145W 50 56 16(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
12 148N 1145W 64 31 17(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 155N 1164W 34 4 76(80) 9(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
24 155N 1164W 50 X 47(47) 14(61) 1(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
24 155N 1164W 64 X 23(23) 11(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
36 163N 1182W 34 1 20(21) 48(69) 13(82) 2(84) 1(85) X(85)
36 163N 1182W 50 X 4( 4) 35(39) 11(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52)
36 163N 1182W 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 9(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
48 168N 1204W 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) 36(59) 15(74) X(74) 1(75)
48 168N 1204W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) 10(40) X(40) X(40)
48 168N 1204W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 6(20) X(20) X(20)
72 170N 1240W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 33(41) 8(49) X(49)
72 170N 1240W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 4(20) X(20)
72 170N 1240W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
96 170N 1275W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 2(25)
96 170N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
96 170N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 170N 1305W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
120 170N 1305W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 170N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 90 95 95 80 65 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/RHOME
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