Tropical Storm BUD
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
2100 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 202N 1305W 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
12 202N 1305W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 202N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 204N 1331W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 204N 1331W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 204N 1331W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 205N 1356W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 205N 1356W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 205N 1356W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 206N 1381W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 206N 1381W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 206N 1381W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 205N 1440W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
72 205N 1440W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 205N 1440W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 200N 1500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
96 200N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 200N 1550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 200N 1550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 200N 1550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 25 20 20 20 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA
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