Hurricane CARLOTTA

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
1500 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 113.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 113.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 117.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 119.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 20.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 20.0N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 113.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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