Tropical Storm CARLOTTA

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
2100 UTC SAT JUL 15 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 118.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 118.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 117.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 120.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.8N 122.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.8N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 118.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA
 
 
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