Tropical Depression ILEANA
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
200 AM PDT SUN AUG 27 2006
ANY DEEP CONVECTION IS TOTALLY GONE WITH ONLY THE LOW-LEVEL SWIRL
REMAINING. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE ALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STATUS
AND THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KT. THE DEPRESSION MAY HAVE
ALREADY TRANSITIONED TO REMNANT LOW STATUS BUT WE WILL KEEP
ADVISORIES GOING FOR ONE MORE CYCLE. ILEANA WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY DUE TO CONTINUED COLD WATER
INFLUENCES. THE INTENSITY FORECAST ASSUMES A SLOW SPINDOWN OF THE
VORTEX. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED ON THE NORTHERN
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 27/0900Z 23.4N 120.1W 30 KT
12HR VT 27/1800Z 23.6N 121.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 28/0600Z 23.7N 122.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 28/1800Z 23.7N 124.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
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