Hurricane ILEANA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ISLA CLARION 34 45 31(76) 2(78) X(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
ISLA CLARION 50 4 22(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ISLA CLARION 64 1 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 190N 1132W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 190N 1132W 50 82 9(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 190N 1132W 64 45 20(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
24 200N 1152W 34 16 72(88) 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 200N 1152W 50 2 59(61) 9(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
24 200N 1152W 64 X 34(34) 10(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
36 208N 1168W 34 2 38(40) 36(76) 6(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84)
36 208N 1168W 50 X 10(10) 33(43) 7(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52)
36 208N 1168W 64 X 3( 3) 20(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
48 213N 1180W 34 X 10(10) 40(50) 15(65) 6(71) X(71) X(71)
48 213N 1180W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 11(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36)
48 213N 1180W 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
72 220N 1195W 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 17(35) 12(47) 1(48) X(48)
72 220N 1195W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) 1(19) X(19)
72 220N 1195W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
96 225N 1210W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 11(26) 2(28) 1(29)
96 225N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
96 225N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 225N 1220W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 2(18) X(18)
120 225N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 225N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 110 115 95 85 60 40 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: