Hurricane JOHN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
0300 UTC SAT SEP 02 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95
KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
P ABREOJOS 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 12(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 14 3(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 5 X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LA PAZ 34 73 10(83) 1(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
LA PAZ 50 37 12(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
LA PAZ 64 16 5(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
LORETO 34 1 36(37) 28(65) 5(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
LORETO 50 X 12(12) 18(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
LORETO 64 X 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
HERMOSILLO 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 9(19) 1(20) X(20) 1(21)
BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 15(30) 2(32) X(32) 1(33)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GUAYMAS 34 X 5( 5) 26(31) 10(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
GUAYMAS 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HUATABAMPO 34 1 20(21) 13(34) 4(38) X(38) X(38) 1(39)
HUATABAMPO 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
LOS MOCHIS 34 10 19(29) 5(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
LOS MOCHIS 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CULICAN 34 55 6(61) 1(62) 1(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)
CULICAN 50 10 4(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
CULICAN 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 244N 1101W 34 83 9(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
12 244N 1101W 50 53 14(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
12 244N 1101W 64 37 11(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
24 255N 1109W 34 11 54(65) 11(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
24 255N 1109W 50 2 31(33) 9(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 255N 1109W 64 1 16(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
36 267N 1118W 34 1 17(18) 35(53) 9(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
36 267N 1118W 50 X 4( 4) 17(21) 6(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
36 267N 1118W 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
48 275N 1130W 34 X 3( 3) 24(27) 15(42) 4(46) X(46) X(46)
48 275N 1130W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
48 275N 1130W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 290N 1150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 5(18) 2(20) X(20)
72 290N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 290N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 300N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
96 300N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 300N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 305N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
120 305N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 305N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 75 55 35 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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