Tropical Storm JOHN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
0300 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
P ABREOJOS 34 9 15(24) 2(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
P ABREOJOS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
LORETO 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P PENASCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BAHIA KINO 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
GUAYMAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 264N 1125W 34 60 7(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
12 264N 1125W 50 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
12 264N 1125W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 274N 1136W 34 6 19(25) 4(29) X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
24 274N 1136W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 274N 1136W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 283N 1146W 34 1 7( 8) 8(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
36 283N 1146W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 283N 1146W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 290N 1155W 34 1 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15)
48 290N 1155W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 290N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 295N 1170W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
72 295N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 295N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 295N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
96 295N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 295N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 35 30 25 20 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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