Tropical Depression KRISTY
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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 05 2006
THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF TENACIOUS KRISTY.
THE CYCLONE CONSISTS OF A TIGHT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND
INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS
AT 30 KNOTS AND A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE
MOVES TOWARD A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.
THE CYCLONE IS MOVING WESTWARD A LITTLE FASTER...270/6 AND IT IS
LOCATED SOUTH OF A DEVELOPING RIDGE. THEREFORE...A GENERAL WESTWARD
TRACK WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD CONTINUE
UNTIL DISSIPATION.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 05/0900Z 16.2N 120.5W 30 KT
12HR VT 05/1800Z 16.2N 121.5W 30 KT
24HR VT 06/0600Z 16.5N 123.0W 25 KT
36HR VT 06/1800Z 16.5N 125.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 07/0600Z 17.0N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 08/0600Z 17.0N 130.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER AVILA
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