Tropical Storm KRISTY
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 175N 1164W 34 84 8(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
12 175N 1164W 50 44 16(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
12 175N 1164W 64 12 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 182N 1177W 34 10 57(67) 11(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
24 182N 1177W 50 1 30(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 182N 1177W 64 X 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 189N 1190W 34 1 24(25) 35(60) 7(67) 3(70) 1(71) X(71)
36 189N 1190W 50 X 4( 4) 21(25) 6(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33)
36 189N 1190W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
48 195N 1205W 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 18(48) 9(57) 1(58) X(58)
48 195N 1205W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24)
48 195N 1205W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
72 200N 1230W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 17(31) 4(35) 1(36)
72 200N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11)
72 200N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 195N 1250W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 12(14) 5(19) 1(20)
96 195N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
96 195N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 190N 1270W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
120 190N 1270W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 190N 1270W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 65 70 65 55 45 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN