Tropical Storm KRISTY
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 8 4(12) 2(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 178N 1165W 34 90 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 178N 1165W 50 53 14(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
12 178N 1165W 64 21 9(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 186N 1177W 34 19 56(75) 9(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) 1(86)
24 186N 1177W 50 2 38(40) 10(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 186N 1177W 64 X 17(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
36 193N 1190W 34 2 31(33) 30(63) 6(69) 3(72) X(72) X(72)
36 193N 1190W 50 X 8( 8) 21(29) 6(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37)
36 193N 1190W 64 X 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
48 199N 1204W 34 1 6( 7) 26(33) 17(50) 7(57) X(57) 1(58)
48 199N 1204W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 11(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25)
48 199N 1204W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 202N 1230W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 15(29) 3(32) 1(33)
72 202N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
72 202N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
96 200N 1245W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 4(19) 1(20)
96 200N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 200N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 195N 1260W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11)
120 195N 1260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 195N 1260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 70 70 65 50 40 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BEVEN
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