Hurricane KRISTY

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  3   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 182N 1169W 34 90   5(95)   1(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 182N 1169W 50 64  12(76)   1(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 12 182N 1169W 64 27  12(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 
 24 189N 1179W 34 28  50(78)   7(85)   1(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 24 189N 1179W 50  5  42(47)   8(55)   2(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 24 189N 1179W 64  1  20(21)   6(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 36 195N 1191W 34  2  36(38)  27(65)   5(70)   2(72)   1(73)   X(73)
 36 195N 1191W 50  X  10(10)  23(33)   4(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 36 195N 1191W 64  X   3( 3)  11(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 48 199N 1200W 34  1  11(12)  33(45)   9(54)   4(58)   1(59)   X(59)
 48 199N 1200W 50  X   2( 2)  16(18)   7(25)   2(27)   1(28)   X(28)
 48 199N 1200W 64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 200N 1210W 34  1   4( 5)  21(26)  12(38)   6(44)   2(46)   X(46)
 72 200N 1210W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 72 200N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 200N 1215W 34  X   3( 3)  14(17)  12(29)   8(37)   1(38)   X(38)
 96 200N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 96 200N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
120 200N 1220W 34  X   2( 2)   9(11)  10(21)   8(29)   2(31)   X(31)
120 200N 1220W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
120 200N 1220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     80      75      65      50      40      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN