Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E
ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM WEST OF MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 102.4W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 298 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 102.4W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 102.0W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.3N 103.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 106.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 102.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN