Tropical Storm LANE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 5(14)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 17(27) 22(49) 6(55) 2(57)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 2(20) 1(21)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 15(24) 23(47) 6(53) 2(55)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 4(20) X(20)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 23(33) 8(41) 2(43)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 4(24)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 2(16)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 7(22) 1(23)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 19(26) 6(32) 2(34)
CULICAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
CULICAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MAZATLAN 34 X 4( 4) 8(12) 7(19) 8(27) 2(29) X(29)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 5 12(17) 9(26) 4(30) 4(34) X(34) X(34)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 22 16(38) 8(46) 2(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51)
P VALLARTA 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 67 5(72) 2(74) 1(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 4 5( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MANZANILLO 34 61 4(65) 1(66) 1(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
MANZANILLO 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
L CARDENAS 34 10 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 4( 4) 8(12) 8(20) 6(26) 1(27) 2(29)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 6 18(24) 16(40) 7(47) 5(52) 1(53) X(53)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 182N 1054W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 182N 1054W 50 40 14(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
12 182N 1054W 64 3 5( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 190N 1066W 34 71 20(91) 2(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 190N 1066W 50 4 40(44) 8(52) 2(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
24 190N 1066W 64 X 13(13) 4(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
36 199N 1076W 34 19 42(61) 17(78) 6(84) 2(86) X(86) X(86)
36 199N 1076W 50 X 12(12) 23(35) 8(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45)
36 199N 1076W 64 X 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
48 209N 1086W 34 3 18(21) 29(50) 16(66) 9(75) 1(76) X(76)
48 209N 1086W 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 13(26) 8(34) 1(35) 1(36)
48 209N 1086W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
72 230N 1100W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 15(24) 23(47) 6(53) 2(55)
72 230N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) 1(20)
72 230N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
96 245N 1115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 9(32) 4(36)
96 245N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
96 245N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 265N 1120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 6(20)
120 265N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 265N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 65 70 75 75 65 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN