Tropical Depression FIVE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
1500 UTC WED AUG 15 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GALVESTON TX 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUSTIN TX 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FREEPORT TX 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT O CONNOR 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 15(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 7 18(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 2 19(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 258N 955W 34 19 13(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
12 258N 955W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 258N 955W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 265N 975W 34 1 25(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
24 265N 975W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 265N 975W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 270N 990W 34 X 10(10) 6(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
36 270N 990W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 270N 990W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 285N 1005W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 285N 1005W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 285N 1005W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 25 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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