Hurricane HUMBERTO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOBILE AL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BURAS LA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
GALVESTON TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 309N 935W 34 72 5(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
12 309N 935W 50 26 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
12 309N 935W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 322N 920W 34 3 16(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
24 322N 920W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 322N 920W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 327N 902W 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 327N 902W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 327N 902W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 323N 880W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 323N 880W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 323N 880W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 30 25 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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