Hurricane NOEL

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HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
1100 PM EDT THU NOV 01 2007

...HURRICANE NOEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGE AND POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL STORM OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY... 
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...
285 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 760 MILES...1225 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
 
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS....BUT NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THEREAFTER...NOEL SHOULD
THEN STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. 
INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST
OFFICE. INTERESTS ALONG THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT
CANADA. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE  CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
 
NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH
ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...27.3 N...76.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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