Tropical Storm DALILA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007
1500 UTC MON JUL 23 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 19(34) 9(43) 2(45) X(45)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 19(30) 3(33) 1(34)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 155N 1097W 34 41 23(64) 3(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
12 155N 1097W 50 5 5(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
12 155N 1097W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 162N 1104W 34 9 39(48) 11(59) 5(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65)
24 162N 1104W 50 X 9( 9) 6(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
24 162N 1104W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 170N 1111W 34 1 17(18) 26(44) 13(57) 5(62) X(62) X(62)
36 170N 1111W 50 X 3( 3) 9(12) 6(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21)
36 170N 1111W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 181N 1121W 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 25(44) 12(56) 1(57) X(57)
48 181N 1121W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20)
48 181N 1121W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 200N 1145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 25(33) 7(40) 1(41)
72 200N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11)
72 200N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 220N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19)
96 220N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
96 220N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 235N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
120 235N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 235N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 60 60 50 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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