Hurricane FLOSSIE
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HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007
0900 UTC SAT AUG 11 2007
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.3W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.3W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.8W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 12.9N 141.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.3N 143.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.8N 145.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.4N 148.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 156.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 159.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 139.3W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII.
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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