Tropical Storm HENRIETTE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
2100 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 8(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) 1(14) 1(15)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
MAZATLAN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 8( 8) 24(32) 12(44) 7(51) 1(52) X(52)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 8(12) 3(15) 1(16)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 188N 1068W 34 94 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 188N 1068W 50 43 19(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
12 188N 1068W 64 15 7(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
24 195N 1085W 34 8 72(80) 6(86) 2(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89)
24 195N 1085W 50 X 36(36) 12(48) 1(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50)
24 195N 1085W 64 X 17(17) 7(24) X(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 200N 1100W 34 1 31(32) 34(66) 8(74) 4(78) X(78) X(78)
36 200N 1100W 50 X 5( 5) 23(28) 7(35) 2(37) 1(38) X(38)
36 200N 1100W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
48 205N 1115W 34 X 4( 4) 29(33) 22(55) 9(64) 2(66) X(66)
48 205N 1115W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 7(28) X(28) 1(29)
48 205N 1115W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
72 220N 1135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 22(39) 6(45) 1(46)
72 220N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) X(14)
72 220N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 240N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 9(24) 1(25)
96 240N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
96 240N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 270N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
120 270N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 270N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 75 75 70 60 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN