Tropical Storm IVO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) 1(11)
LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12)
LORETO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 216N 1125W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 216N 1125W 50 9 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
12 216N 1125W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 223N 1120W 34 39 16(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) 1(58)
24 223N 1120W 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 223N 1120W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 228N 1115W 34 7 20(27) 5(32) 2(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
36 228N 1115W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 228N 1115W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 233N 1109W 34 1 8( 9) 7(16) 3(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21)
48 233N 1109W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
48 233N 1109W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 240N 1100W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12)
72 240N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 240N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 245N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
96 245N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 245N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 255N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
120 255N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 255N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 40 35 30 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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