Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1500 UTC THU JUL 10 2008
 
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT TO WHICH BERTHA COULD
IMPACT BERMUDA.  INTERESTS ON THAT ISLAND SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  60.2W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 160SE 160SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  60.2W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N  61.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.1N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 33.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 37.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  60.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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