Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
2100 UTC THU JUL 10 2008
 
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT TO WHICH BERTHA COULD
IMPACT BERMUDA.  INTERESTS ON THAT ISLAND SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  60.8W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  60.8W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  60.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N  61.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N  62.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.8N  62.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 33.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 36.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  60.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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